ENDED: Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Champions League

16 hours ago ENDED

Venue Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano

Ref Harm Osmers

Round League Stage - 3

Inter

1 · 0

ENDED

Shakhtar Donetsk

Cards

🟥 1 🟨 5

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

1 expert tip on this match

AltBetsAI (2.10x)

Tips for this match 1

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Under 3.5

Analysis

Under 3.5 at 2.1 carries 47.6% implied probability versus our 74.64% simulation edge — 27 percentage points of value. Expected goals total just 2.55 (Inter 1.32, Shakhtar 1.24).

Inter concedes 1.0 goals per home game (9 games, 44.4% clean sheets), while Shakhtar allows 0.5 away (10 games, 60% clean sheets) — defensive foundation for low-scoring outcome.

Inter missing Lautaro Martínez (captain, top scorer, hamstring), plus Pavard and Curtis Jones, severely blunts attacking firepower.

Shakhtar riding three-match winning streak with fortress defense: 1 loss in last 10 away games, 70% win rate.

Simulation pegs Over 2.5 at just 46.95% probability; market's 1.67 odds for Over 3.5 imply 59.9%, a material overestimate of scoring risk.

RISK FACTORS
- Inter's home record is elite (7W-2D-0L, 77.8% win rate); early goal and injury recovery could push scoreline past 3.5.
- Shakhtar's away form includes 60% Over 2.5 rate, showing they participate in higher-scoring matches despite defensive solidity.
- Inter chasing first UCL point after seven-goal loss on Matchday 2 may trigger tactical desperation and elevated attacking intensity.

Odds

2.10

Units

1.9

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.09u

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Match timeline

⚠️ Foul

93'

Foul by Marcus Thuram for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Martins Newerton for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

91'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

91'

Mykola Matviyenko takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

91'

Nicolo Barella takes a shot for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

91'

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

91'

Nicolo Barella takes a shot for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

91'

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

90'

Tackle by Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

90'

Tackle by Mykola Matviyenko for Shakhtar Donetsk.

⚠️ Foul

89'

Foul by Nicolo Barella for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

89'

Tackle by Severino Isaque for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🧤 Goal Kick

89'

Goal kick for Inter.

🚩 Corner

88'

Corner for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🚩 Corner

88'

Corner for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🎯 Shot On Target

87'

Martins Newerton has a shot on target for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

87'

Martins Newerton takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

⚠️ Foul

86'

Foul by Vinicius Tobias for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🧤 Goal Kick

86'

Goal kick for Inter.

🧤 Goal Kick

85'

Goal kick for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

84'

Henrikh Mkhitaryan takes a shot for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

82'

Foul by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

81'

Throw in for Inter.

🚩 Offside

79'

Martins Newerton is caught offside for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🎯 Shot On Target

77'

Carlos Augusto has a shot on target for Inter.

🥅 Shot

77'

Carlos Augusto takes a shot for Inter.

⚽ Goal

77'

Goal for Inter!

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Severino Isaque for Shakhtar Donetsk.

⚠️ Foul

75'

Foul by Vinicius Tobias for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

74'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

73'

Tackle by Nicolo Barella for Inter.

🥅 Shot

72'

Kaua Elias takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🟨 Yellow Card

72'

Yellow card for Petar Sucic of Inter.

⚠️ Foul

72'

Foul by Valeriy Bondar for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

71'

Tackle by Petar Sucic for Inter.

🟥 Red Card

69'

Red card for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

68'

Foul by Alessandro Bastoni for Inter.

🟨 Yellow Card

68'

Yellow card for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🟨 Yellow Card

67'

Yellow card for Alessandro Bastoni of Inter.

🎯 Shot On Target

66'

Marcus Thuram has a shot on target for Inter.

🥅 Shot

66'

Marcus Thuram takes a shot for Inter.

🚩 Corner

66'

Corner for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Yegor Nazaryna for Shakhtar Donetsk.

⚠️ Foul

64'

Foul by Kaua Elias for Shakhtar Donetsk.

⚠️ Foul

63'

Foul by Alessandro Bastoni for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

63'

Tackle by Alisson for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

62'

Tackle by Alessandro Bastoni for Inter.

🚩 Offside

61'

Marcus Thuram is caught offside for Inter.

🎯 Shot On Target

60'

Ange-Yoan Bonny has a shot on target for Inter.

🥅 Shot

60'

Ange-Yoan Bonny takes a shot for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

60'

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

59'

Throw in for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

57'

Throw in for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

56'

Tackle by Alessandro Bastoni for Inter.

🥅 Shot

56'

Alessandro Bastoni takes a shot for Inter.

🚩 Offside

55'

Alisson is caught offside for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🟨 Yellow Card

54'

Yellow card for Marcus Thuram of Inter.

⚠️ Foul

54'

Foul by Marcus Thuram for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

54'

Foul by Marcus Thuram for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

53'

Tackle by Petar Sucic for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

52'

Tackle by Ange-Yoan Bonny for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

52'

Foul by Azevedo Pedro Henrique for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

52'

Throw in for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

51'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

51'

Tackle by Ange-Yoan Bonny for Inter.

🧤 Goal Kick

51'

Goal kick for Inter.

🥅 Shot

51'

Vinicius Tobias takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Federico Dimarco for Inter.

🧤 Goal Kick

48'

Goal kick for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Alessandro Bastoni for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Alessandro Bastoni for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Petar Sucic for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Petar Sucic for Inter.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 0-0.

🚩 Corner

47'

Corner for Inter.

🚩 Corner

47'

Corner for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

47'

Tackle by Carlos Augusto for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

45'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🧤 Goal Kick

45'

Goal kick for Inter.

🥅 Shot

44'

Oleg Ocheretko takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🚩 Corner

44'

Corner for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🎯 Shot On Target

40'

Valeriy Bondar has a shot on target for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

40'

Valeriy Bondar takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🚩 Corner

40'

Corner for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

39'

Kaua Elias takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

39'

Tackle by Hakan Calhanoglu for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

37'

Foul by Manuel Akanji for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

37'

Throw in for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

36'

Foul by Oleg Ocheretko for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🟨 Yellow Card

36'

Yellow card for Oleg Ocheretko of Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

36'

Tackle by Nicolo Barella for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

⚠️ Foul

33'

Foul by Petar Sucic for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

30'

Tackle by Petar Sucic for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

27'

Gleiker Mendoza takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

25'

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

24'

Tackle by Kaua Elias for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

24'

Throw in for Inter.

🧤 Goal Kick

24'

Goal kick for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

23'

Hakan Calhanoglu takes a shot for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

23'

Foul by Kaua Elias for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

22'

Federico Dimarco takes a shot for Inter.

↩️ Throw In

22'

Throw in for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

22'

Tackle by Petar Sucic for Inter.

🎯 Shot On Target

21'

Ange-Yoan Bonny has a shot on target for Inter.

🥅 Shot

21'

Ange-Yoan Bonny takes a shot for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

21'

Tackle by Valeriy Bondar for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

19'

Manuel Akanji takes a shot for Inter.

🥅 Shot

19'

Ange-Yoan Bonny takes a shot for Inter.

🚩 Corner

18'

Corner for Inter.

🚩 Corner

18'

Corner for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

18'

Foul by Gleiker Mendoza for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🧤 Goal Kick

16'

Goal kick for Inter.

🥅 Shot

16'

Oleg Ocheretko takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Azevedo Pedro Henrique for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🚩 Offside

13'

Nicolo Barella is caught offside for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Azevedo Pedro Henrique for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

12'

Tackle by Gleiker Mendoza for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

12'

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

11'

Tackle by Azevedo Pedro Henrique for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🛡️ Tackle

11'

Tackle by Djed Spence for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

10'

Foul by Manuel Akanji for Inter.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Kaua Elias for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🎯 Shot On Target

Silva Pedrinho has a shot on target for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

Silva Pedrinho takes a shot for Shakhtar Donetsk.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🥅 Shot

Hakan Calhanoglu takes a shot for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Marcus Thuram for Inter.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Inter.

🥅 Shot

Nicolo Barella takes a shot for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Nicolo Barella for Inter.

🎯 Shot On Target

Marcus Thuram has a shot on target for Inter.

🥅 Shot

Marcus Thuram takes a shot for Inter.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Inter.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Marlon Gomes for Shakhtar Donetsk.

🟢 Match Started

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk has started.

Team news

Inter

C. Jones — Thigh Injury
L. Martinez — Thigh Injury
B. Pavard — Thigh Injury
J. Stones — Injury
C. Jones — Thigh Injury
L. Martinez — Thigh Injury
B. Pavard — Thigh Injury
J. Stones — Injury

Shakhtar Donetsk

Eguinaldo — Shoulder Injury
K. Fesyun — Illness
A. Ghram — Injury
V. Korniyenko — Off the roster
Marlon — Muscle Injury
P. Obah — Off the roster
T. Puzankov — Off the roster
M. Shved — Off the roster
D. Tvardovskyi — Off the roster
I. Azarovi — Knee Injury
Eguinaldo — Shoulder Injury
K. Fesyun — Illness
A. Ghram — Injury
V. Korniyenko — Off the roster
Marlon — Muscle Injury
P. Obah — Off the roster
T. Puzankov — Off the roster
M. Shved — Off the roster
D. Tvardovskyi — Off the roster
I. Azarovi — Knee Injury

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Under 3.5

Analysis

Odds

2.10

Units

1.9

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.09u

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